TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 1:39 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks who will win the boxing match between Tim Tszyu and Errol Spence on Kalshi, resolving based on the official match result. The current probability for Errol Spence to win stands at 99.0%, while Tim Tszyu’s chance is at 1.0%. The match is scheduled for July 26, 2026, and any delay will keep betting active until the new date is confirmed, with the market settling according to the official result of that rescheduled event.
If Tim Tszyu wins the Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Errol Spence wins the Tim Tszyu vs Errol Spence boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a different outlook compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks incorporate expert adjustments and may favor certain fighters based on historical data, prediction markets are driven purely by trader sentiment and bets. This can lead to divergence, especially when insider information or shifting public opinion impacts trader behavior. Comparing the two provides a unique perspective on how crowd-sourced forecasts differ from established betting lines.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official declaration of the fight’s outcome, which is then matched against the market’s defined settlements. Traders can track confirmed results through trusted news outlets and official announcements to anticipate when the market will close and pay out.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including pre-fight press conferences, injury updates, or changes in fighter rankings. Media interviews, betting trends on other platforms, and analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment. Any unexpected developments — such as training session cancellations or new performance metrics — can cause rapid adjustments in odds as traders reassess the likelihood of each outcome.