TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.3b
24H VOL:
$121,875,814
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,403,290,006
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,437,844,306
405,535
Markets across
30,523
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 0.5 goals will be scored in the Tijuana de Caliente versus Queretaro Liga MX soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 0.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by official Liga MX sources. Keep a close watch on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the completion of the game originally scheduled for September 11, 2026, with final settlement expected by the resolution date of September 12, 2026.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored by both teams in the Tijuana de Caliente vs Queretaro professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for Sep 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. Each market has a specific threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate assessment of probabilities. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can offer valuable insights into where the market finds value, and where public perception might diverge from the perceived true probabilities of various outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the traders on the platform. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on their own analysis, news, and expectations, creating a dynamic market price. As more trades occur, the price converges towards a consensus view of the likelihood of each possible total goal outcome in the match.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Tijuana de Caliente versus Queretaro match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, and the contract corresponding to the correct total goals will pay out $1.00. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand when the market has officially settled and payouts are processed.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Tijuana de Caliente or Queretaro would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, especially if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also shift the market. Even team lineup announcements closer to kickoff could influence traders’ perceptions of scoring potential, leading to adjustments in contract prices. Any significant public sentiment shifts, reflected in expert analysis or social media, could also impact the market.