TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 1:30 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether both Tijuana de Caliente and Queretaro will manage to score at least one goal during their scheduled match on September 11, 2026. The outcome hinges solely on whether each team finds the back of the net at least once within the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee.
If Tijuana de Caliente and Queretaro both score a goal in the Tijuana de Caliente vs Queretaro Liga MX match originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many independent traders. If a significant number of traders believe a 'Yes' outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price for 'Yes' will rise, and vice versa. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis, making this market a valuable data point for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of the 'Yes' outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, indicating a growing expectation that both teams will score. Conversely, selling 'Yes' contracts lowers the price, suggesting a belief that at least one team will be held scoreless. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Tijuana and Queretaro score at least one goal during the scheduled match. Official match results from a recognized sporting authority will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle based on whether the 'Yes' (both teams score) or 'No' (one or both teams fail to score) outcome occurred during the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Tijuana or Queretaro could significantly shift expectations. Changes in team form, such as a recent string of high-scoring or low-scoring games, would also be closely watched by traders. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even tactical adjustments announced by the managers, could also cause price movements. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the likelihood of goals being scored will impact trading activity and the market price.