TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 11:00 PM EST
Kalshi
A competitive baseball contest will take place between two teams. The decisive factor is the team that finishes the game with the highest run total.
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the specified Mexico LMB game originally scheduled for Aug 1, 2026. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two days away, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent each team's probability of winning. The current implied chance for the favored side reflects the aggregate view of all participants, with price fluctuations driven by new information, trading volume, and shifts in consensus. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid adjustments as the event timeline progresses.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official game outcome, which is then matched against the market’s defined criteria. Traders can track confirmed results through trusted sports news sources or the league’s official announcements to anticipate when settlement will occur.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting the game, and coaching strategy changes could all shift this market. Media reports, pre-game polls, and betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. As the match date approaches, any news impacting team performance or fan confidence is likely to cause noticeable price swings, so staying updated on reliable sports analysis is key to tracking movement.