TOTAL VOLUME:

$108.1b

24H VOL:

$99,853,940

24H TRANSACTIONS:

1,169,687,206

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,099,265,045

254,419

Markets across

24,808

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,003

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

43%

VS.

Kalshi:

57%

BETA
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Intro

This market tracks whether the Tigres de la UANL vs. Real Salt Lake match scheduled for August 4, 2026 will end in a draw, with the aggregated consensus probability currently at 99.5% according to data from Kalshi and Polymarket. The final resolution will be determined by the official results posted on https://www.leaguescup.com/. Keep an eye on the match date as it will provide the definitive outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic divergence between outcome-specific binary markets (Polymarket) and all-outcome inclusive market (Kalshi)Hero tip: Avoid cross-platform hedging strategies that assume consistent payouts — Polymarket markets resolve ONLY for their specific outcome while Kalshi resolves for ANY match conclusion. Focus trading on single platforms for this event.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets that each resolve ONLY for their specific outcome: "Will Tigres de la UANL win?", "Will it end in a draw?", "Will Real Salt Lake win?" Each market resolves Yes ONLY if that specific condition is met
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves Yes if ANY of the three possible outcomes occur (Tigres win, Draw, or Real Salt Lake win) — effectively a "Will the match have a result?" market
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Leagues Cup game, scheduled for Tuesday, August 4, 2026 between Tigres de la UANL and Real Salt Lake.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Tigres vs Salt Lake professional Leagues Cup soccer game originally scheduled for August 4, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Tigres wins, the 'Tigres' market resolves to Yes; if Salt Lake wins, the 'Salt Lake' market resolves to Yes; and if the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Tigres vs. Real Salt Lake match market aggregates activity across multiple venues, showing the latest consensus view and volume trends. It tracks how traders on different platforms price the likelihood of each possible outcome, offering a live snapshot of market sentiment and liquidity. By monitoring this aggregated data, participants can see where interest is concentrated and how expectations shift as the match approaches. The dashboard reflects combined volume of $4,090,799 and recent 24-hour volume of $1,768,720, giving a clear picture of market engagement.

Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or shifting weather conditions could all move this market as the match approaches. Traders will also watch for form guide updates, recent performance metrics, and any last-minute lineup announcements. Media narratives and expert commentary can influence sentiment, especially if a favorite faces unexpected challenges. As these signals emerge, volume may spike on one platform or the other, reflecting updated probabilities and shifting the overall market outlook.