TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 6:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Henry Searle in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Henry Searle. This market will resolve to 'Henry Searle' if Henry Searle advances against Timo Legout. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Timo Legout and Henry Searle in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Timo Legout' if Timo Legout advances against Henry Searle. This market will resolve to 'Henry Searle' if Henry Searle advances against Timo Legout. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their risk and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant difference emerges between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that traders believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sources, and discrepancies can occur due to varying levels of information and analytical approaches.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Legout vs Searle match. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's likelihood. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to changing conditions and provides a real-time estimate of the expected result.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Legout vs Searle match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the winner. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome and their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market leading up to Sep 22, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about strategy or coaching changes could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, might prompt traders to reassess their positions and adjust their predictions accordingly, leading to price fluctuations.