TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 9:18 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Nishesh Basavareddy in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Sebastian Gorzny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and Nishesh Basavareddy in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Sebastian Gorzny. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before a significant amount of trading occurs. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the available data. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise in assessing the relative probabilities of different outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Tiburon tournament match between Sebastian Gorzny and Nishesh Basavareddy. The platform will look to established sports news outlets and official tournament records to determine the winner. The outcome will be determined by which player is officially declared the victor of the match. The resolution process aims to be transparent and based on publicly available information.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in strategy could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches within the tournament could also affect the market, as they might alter the players' motivation or path to victory. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role. Major upsets or surprising tactical decisions during the match itself would likely cause substantial movement in the market until the final result is known.