TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 6:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Maloney and Michael Mmoh in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Maloney' if Patrick Maloney advances against Michael Mmoh. This market will resolve to 'Michael Mmoh' if Michael Mmoh advances against Patrick Maloney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Maloney and Michael Mmoh in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Maloney' if Patrick Maloney advances against Michael Mmoh. This market will resolve to 'Michael Mmoh' if Michael Mmoh advances against Patrick Maloney. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often provide a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the aggregate wisdom of crowd predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. This can be particularly noticeable in events where public perception differs from expert analysis, offering a potentially valuable signal for informed decision-making. Comparing the two can reveal where the market believes sportsbooks may be mispricing the probability of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The current price indicates what the collective market believes is the fair chance of a specific outcome in the Maloney vs Mmoh match.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the match, as reported by a recognized tennis authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final share price at the time of resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their shares.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 23, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader tennis news, could also impact trading activity. Public sentiment and analysis from tennis experts can also play a role, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions accordingly. Monitoring these signals can help you understand the potential for price movements in this market.