TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 4:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Mitchell Krueger and Keegan Smith in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitchell Krueger' if Mitchell Krueger advances against Keegan Smith. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Mitchell Krueger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Mitchell Krueger and Keegan Smith in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitchell Krueger' if Mitchell Krueger advances against Keegan Smith. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Mitchell Krueger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and risk management, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. Often, prediction markets can offer more accurate probabilities, especially when there is significant information asymmetry or a strong incentive for traders to be well-informed. It’s common to see discrepancies, as each represents a different form of forecasting.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective assessment of the match’s potential results, driven by traders’ individual analyses and information.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Krueger vs Smith match, as determined by the official tournament organizers. The winner of the match will be the determining factor for the market’s settlement. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process, relying on established sources to verify the final result of the competition.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updates on their recent performance could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player strategies or coaching changes could also lead to market movement. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to changes in the price of shares in this market.