TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 9:41 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Sebastian Gorzny in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Sebastian Gorzny. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Sebastian Gorzny in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 5:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Sebastian Gorzny. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. If you find a significant difference between the odds here and those offered by sportsbooks, it could signal a potential trading opportunity, or indicate that the market possesses information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's potential results. The current volume traded indicates the level of interest and confidence in the various possible outcomes of the Staeheli vs Gorzny match.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Staeheli vs Gorzny match as reported by the governing body or official tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected developments leading up to the match could significantly impact trader sentiment. Public announcements about player form, weather conditions, or even pre-match interviews offering insights into team preparations could also trigger movement. Major shifts in public opinion, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also cause traders to reassess their positions and adjust their bets accordingly.