TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 6:06 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'J.J. Wolf' if J.J. Wolf advances against Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi' if Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi advances against J.J. Wolf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between J.J. Wolf and Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'J.J. Wolf' if J.J. Wolf advances against Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi. This market will resolve to 'Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi' if Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi advances against J.J. Wolf. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals freely trading based on their own research and beliefs. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Analyzing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Wolf vs Ambrogi match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, directly reflecting the market’s implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy shares in a particular outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment. The current volume traded in this market is $17,430.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the J.J. Wolf versus Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi tennis match. The platform will verify the winner of the match against widely available and trusted sources to determine the winning outcome of this market. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even significant shifts in public opinion could all cause the odds to shift. Unexpected upsets in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, could also impact trading activity. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to move this market, as traders adjust their positions based on the latest developments.