TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 7:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Nishesh Basavareddy in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Igor Ribeiro Marcondes' if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Nishesh Basavareddy in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Igor Ribeiro Marcondes' if Igor Ribeiro Marcondes advances against Nishesh Basavareddy. This market will resolve to 'Nishesh Basavareddy' if Nishesh Basavareddy advances against Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If there's disagreement between the two, it often indicates differing beliefs about the likelihood of a particular outcome. It's common to see prediction markets incorporate information faster than sportsbooks, especially regarding nuanced factors influencing the event. This can result in more accurate predictions over time.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tiburon chess match between Igor Ribeiro Marcondes and Nishesh Basavareddy. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sources to determine the winning player. Any disputes will be handled according to the platform's standard procedures, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding the players' form, health, or preparation could shift expectations. For example, reports of one player experiencing a significant training breakthrough or a minor injury could impact the odds. Additionally, expert analysis or commentary on the players' strengths and weaknesses could sway trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in the broader chess world, such as changes in rankings or tournament results, might also indirectly affect this market. The closer we get to Sep 21, 2026, the more sensitive the market will be to new information.