TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski and Evan Zhu in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski' if Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski advances against Evan Zhu. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski and Evan Zhu in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 2:10PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski' if Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski advances against Evan Zhu. This market will resolve to 'Evan Zhu' if Evan Zhu advances against Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, while Polymarket allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. This can lead to differences in implied probabilities. It’s common to see this market’s odds diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or if there’s strong sentiment among traders on Polymarket regarding the likely winner of the Tiburon chess match. Comparing the two can offer a broader view of potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Tiburon chess match between Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski and Evan Zhu. The platform will look to established chess reporting sources to determine the winner and settle the market accordingly. Traders should monitor these sources as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the event’s progress and potential impact on this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding the players' preparation, recent performance in other tournaments, or potential health concerns could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected strategic choices during the match itself, or commentary from chess experts analyzing the game, could also lead to significant price fluctuations. Furthermore, large trades on Polymarket by influential traders could create momentum and drive the market in a particular direction before the Tiburon chess match concludes.