TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 9:55 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the scheduled tennis match between Darwin Blanch and Stefan Kozlov in Tiburon will be completed. Currently, Polymarket gives a 99.0% probability to “Tiburon: Completed Match: Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov” and a 49.0% probability to “Tiburon: Darwin Blanch vs Stefan Kozlov”. The resolution source for this market is the official ATP Tour scores website at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Traders should watch the originally scheduled match time of September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET, as this is when the initial signal for match completion—or cancellation—will become available.
This market refers to the tennis match between Darwin Blanch and Stefan Kozlov in the Tiburon, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Stefan Kozlov. This market will resolve to 'Stefan Kozlov' if Stefan Kozlov advances against Darwin Blanch. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there is significant public interest or disagreement about the likely result. Analyzing these differences can provide valuable insights for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment of the event's probability. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market remains responsive to new information and changing sentiment surrounding the Blanch vs Kozlov match.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Blanch vs Kozlov match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will then determine the winning shares and distribute payouts accordingly. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity and price movement in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or significant shifts in expert analysis could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Unexpected results in other matches involving these players, or even broader trends in tennis performance, might also impact the market. Furthermore, large trades by influential participants could create short-term volatility and shifts in the perceived probabilities associated with the Blanch vs Kozlov match.