TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 7:34 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Dan Martin and Alex Rybakov in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dan Martin' if Dan Martin advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Dan Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Dan Martin and Alex Rybakov in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 13, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Dan Martin' if Dan Martin advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Dan Martin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Martin vs Rybakov match. The price of these shares fluctuates based on supply and demand, effectively creating a real-time probability assessment. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of occurring. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price, suggesting a lower probability. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Martin vs Rybakov match as determined by the governing sports organization. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected performance in preceding matches could shift trader sentiment. Public announcements about the players’ physical condition or tactical approaches would be particularly influential. Furthermore, major upsets in related events or shifts in expert analysis could also cause the market to re-evaluate the probabilities associated with the Martin vs Rybakov match. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential price movements.