TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC score more goals than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC score more goals than Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC score more goals than Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC score more goals than Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract a margin, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe are mispriced. Prediction markets typically incorporate information faster and may offer sharper odds on niche events like second-half results, where traditional sportsbooks have limited liquidity. Comparing this market's prices to major sportsbooks can reveal where one venue sees value the other has missed.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the second half of the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by the official final score or result recorded for that half—whether it ends in a draw, a Tianjin win, or a Shenzhen win. Resolution hinges on the match being completed as scheduled; any postponement or cancellation would trigger platform-specific resolution rules. Traders should monitor official league announcements and match updates as the date approaches.
Key injury announcements, lineup changes, or tactical shifts from either club could shift trader sentiment significantly. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day may also influence how the crowd prices second-half outcomes. Live action during the first half—goals, red cards, or momentum swings—will likely trigger sharp repricing as traders update their expectations for what happens after halftime. League news, team statements, or betting-market activity on related markets can also cascade into this one as traders hedge or adjust positions.