TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC" if Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC" if Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one allow continuous price discovery through trader participation. Sportsbook odds may incorporate sharper professional input but less real-time crowd sentiment, whereas this market aggregates distributed knowledge from many participants. Comparing the two can reveal value opportunities, though prediction market odds tend to be more dynamic and responsive to breaking news or injury updates closer to the event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that adjusts odds based on the volume and direction of incoming trades. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome, and the cumulative position determines the probability displayed. The current market reflects strong conviction toward one outcome, with pricing continuously updated as new information emerges. Liquidity depth and order flow dynamics influence how quickly prices move in response to significant trades or external events.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores the opening goal in regulation play. Resolution is confirmed against credible public sources reporting the match result. Early or late in the event window, traders adjust positions based on team lineups, injury news, and tactical adjustments that may influence scoring patterns.
Key catalysts include official team lineups and injury announcements, which can shift offensive or defensive balance. Tactical changes, such as a manager opting for a more aggressive formation, often trigger repricing. Recent form and head-to-head scoring patterns influence trader conviction. Weather conditions on match day may affect play style and early-game dynamics. Pre-match commentary from analysts or betting syndicates can also sway sentiment. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking news about player availability or team morale typically generates the most volatile price movements in this market.