TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 4, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC match originally scheduled for July 4, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction across many possible exact scores, whereas sportsbooks typically offer moneyline or spread bets. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd sees value that traditional oddsmakers may have mispriced, though both sources offer useful reference points for assessing match probabilities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares in each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the cumulative trades and liquidity available for that scoreline. As traders place orders, the odds adjust dynamically based on supply and demand. You can enter or exit positions at any time before the market closes, and your execution price depends on the current order book depth and your trade size relative to available liquidity.
This market resolves around Jul 4, 2026, once the match between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC concludes and the final scoreline is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact score at the end of regular time; the winning share corresponds to whichever scoreline outcome matches the official result. All open positions settle based on that verified final score, and traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or managerial changes that affect perceived match strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and league standings can shift trader sentiment as the match approaches. Weather conditions, venue factors, and any late-breaking developments in either squad's preparation may also influence odds. As match day nears, real-time updates on player availability and tactical adjustments typically drive the most volatile price movements. Live betting dynamics can also emerge if the market remains open during the match itself.