TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:58 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Liaoning Tieren FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Liaoning Tieren FC, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 7:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets price outcomes based on trader belief and capital allocation. This market may show materially different probabilities than major sportsbooks, especially if one venue has sharper or more specialized information about team form, injuries, or tactical matchups. Comparing the two can reveal where public consensus differs from bookmaker positioning.
On Polymarket, traders set prices for each exact score outcome through an automated market maker mechanism, where buying or selling a particular scoreline shifts its probability upward or downward. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current leading outcome reflects the highest trader conviction at this moment, though prices remain fluid until the match concludes. Liquidity and trading volume determine how easily participants can enter or exit positions, and wider spreads may appear for less-favored scorelines. Real-time price discovery ensures the market continuously incorporates new information.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, once the match between Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC and Liaoning Tieren FC is complete and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play, with no adjustments for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the competition format explicitly requires them. Traders holding positions on the correct final score receive payouts proportional to their stake and the odds at which they entered.
Key injury announcements, team lineup confirmations, and recent form updates can shift trader sentiment significantly before kickoff. Unexpected roster changes, managerial decisions, or weather conditions affecting playing style may also influence how traders reassess scoreline probabilities. Late-breaking news about player availability or tactical adjustments often triggers sharp repricing. During the match itself, early goals, red cards, or momentum swings will cause rapid odds movements as traders update their expectations for the final result in real time.