TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 11:44 AM EST
Kalshi
ThunderTalk Gaming and Top Esports will face off in a League of Legends match during the LPL 2026 season on July 25, 2026. The result hinges on whether the series goes to more than two maps, suggesting a highly competitive encounter between the two teams.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the LPL 2026: ThunderTalk Gaming vs. Top Esports League of Legends match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 at 7:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for each possible total-maps outcome. The displayed probability reflects the best available bid-ask spread, adjusted for market depth and recent trading activity. Liquidity can vary sharply as the event approaches, especially if new information about team strategies or player health emerges.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of maps played in the ThunderTalk Gaming versus Top Esports encounter will be compared against the traded contracts to determine winners and payouts. No additional interpretation or judgment is required beyond the publicly recorded match score.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute roster changes, coach announcements about strategy, pre-match practice performance leaks, or unexpected player injuries. Any development that alters the perceived balance of power between the teams may cause traders to reprice the odds, particularly in the final days before the match gets underway.