TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 4:18 PM EST
Kalshi
This spread betting scenario evaluates the performance gap between Thun and Young Boys. The result hinges on the margin of victory for either team, with different thresholds defining a successful outcome for each possible winner.
These markets resolve based on the goal differential if Thun or Young Boys wins the professional Swiss Super League soccer game scheduled for August 1, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The first two markets require Thun to win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while the latter two require Young Boys to win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the condition is met, the respective market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to trader positioning and available information. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, sometimes pricing in nuanced factors like recent team form or injury updates that sportsbooks may lag behind on.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through trader submissions that set the probability of each possible spread result. The current top outcome reflects the collective view of participants, with volume of $37,480 indicating liquidity and interest. Prices adjust dynamically based on new information and betting patterns leading up to the match.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official match result and point differential, which is then automatically reflected in the market’s settlement on Kalshi.
Injuries, lineup changes, and recent form for either team can shift expectations and move this market. Key moments like tactical adjustments during the match, referee decisions, or even weather conditions may also influence trader sentiment. As Aug 2, 2026 approaches, any news affecting team performance or match dynamics will likely cause price swings in this market.