TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 6, 4:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the margin of victory in the same Europa League match. Bets will determine whether Thun or Vikingur Reykjavik will win by more than a specific goal difference within regular time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential if Thun or Vikingur Reykjavik wins the professional Europa League soccer game scheduled for Aug 6, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded. Markets resolve to Yes if Thun wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or if Vikingur Reykjavik wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If neither condition is met, the market resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, with the current implied probability reflecting collective expectations for the outcome. The market price adjusts dynamically based on trading volume of $13,474 and recent shifts in sentiment. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows rapid responses to new information affecting the teams' performance outlook.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread is determined by the official match result and point differential, which is then compared against market predictions to settle all positions. Timing aligns with the conclusion of the game and subsequent data publication.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or weather conditions could shift this market as they affect expected performance. Additionally, strong recent form, media coverage, or shifting public sentiment may influence trader behavior and drive price movements. Any development that impacts the perceived likelihood of the spread will be reflected in real-time market adjustments.