TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 8:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between Three Bridges and Kingstonian, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It considers different thresholds for wins by either team, without accounting for extra time or penalty shootouts. The result is determined solely by the score after 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time.
The event evaluates various winning margins for the Three Bridges vs Kingstonian FA Cup match scheduled for September 4, 2026, considering regulation time only—specifically, the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Three Bridges winning by more than 2.5 goals, Three Bridges winning by more than 1.5 goals, Kingstonian winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Kingstonian winning by more than 2.5 goals. If any of these conditions are met by the final regulation-time score, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' It is important to note that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, has no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ that can differ from those initially set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own analysis. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, they can take a position in this market, potentially driving the price away from the sportsbook’s initial offering. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the regulation time spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of the corresponding contract will rise. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final regulation time spread of the Three Bridges vs Kingstonian match. The official result, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine which contracts pay out and at what value. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the Sep 4, 2026 resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or unexpected weather conditions could shift expectations and impact trading activity. Significant shifts in public opinion, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussions, could also play a role. Finally, large-volume trades on Kalshi by informed traders could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, leading to price fluctuations in this market.