TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 3:00 PM EST
Predict
This group centers on the college football game between Thomas More and Dayton on September 12th. Markets cover the outright winner of the game and the number of rushing touchdowns scored by each team.
In the upcoming college football game between Thomas More and Dayton, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thomas More" if Thomas More win the game. This market will resolve to "Dayton" if Dayton win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the upcoming college football game between Thomas More and Dayton, scheduled for September 12 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thomas More" if Thomas More win the game. This market will resolve to "Dayton" if Dayton win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict for the Thomas More vs. Dayton game, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast outcomes. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially incorporating information not yet fully priced into sportsbook lines. Discrepancies can also arise from differing levels of liquidity and market efficiency between the two types of venues, offering opportunities for arbitrage.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Predict for the Thomas More vs. Dayton game can stem from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and risk tolerance, influencing their trading behavior. Furthermore, the specific market structures and fee schedules on Polymarket and Predict can impact price discovery. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; higher volume generally leads to more efficient price discovery. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Dayton Rushing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 at 99 percent, while Predict leans toward Thomas More vs. Dayton with no available percentage, showcasing these differing views.