TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$22,880

Pablo Carreno Busta

 - Kalshi

Pablo Carreno Busta - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 6:16 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Pablo Carreno Busta

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,996
N/A
N/A
$10,597
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Thiago Agustin Tirante

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,884
N/A
N/A
$6,701
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether Thiago Agustin Tirante will win the opening set against Pablo Carreno Busta in their 2026 French Open Men's Singles Round of 32 match. On Kalshi, Tirante holds a 59.5% probability of taking set 1, while Carreno Busta sits at 39.5%. The market resolves based on the official result from the professional tennis match. Watch for the match outcome on May 29, 2026, when this first-set result will be determined.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often reflect crowd-sourced probability estimates that may differ from traditional sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks factor in margin and risk management, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs directly. For this Set 1 matchup, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees edge or mispricing. Prediction markets typically update faster during live events and may show sharper pricing as match time approaches.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of Set 1 in the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Busta tennis match. The outcome is binary: either Tirante or Carreno Busta wins the set. Once the set concludes and the official score is confirmed, the market settles and traders receive payouts based on which outcome they held at resolution.

Key signals include recent head-to-head records, current ranking and form, surface preference, injury reports, and pre-match betting patterns. Court conditions, weather, and player momentum during warm-up can shift trader sentiment. Live performance during the match itself—break points, service holds, and momentum swings—will drive sharp price moves on Kalshi. News of lineup changes, coaching adjustments, or player statements may also trigger trading activity before Set 1 begins.