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Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jacob Fearnley: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jacob Fearnley: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$1,737

Jacob Fearnley

 - Kalshi

Jacob Fearnley - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 23, 2026

Closed: Jun 23, 10:03 AM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jacob Fearnley

View
57%
Yes 57¢No 43¢
100¢
N/A
$551
N/A
N/A
$551
Settled
No
kalshi

Thiago Agustin Tirante

View
43%
Yes 43¢No 57¢
100¢
N/A
$1,186
N/A
N/A
$1,175
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market tracks the outcome of the first set in a professional tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Jacob Fearnley at the 2026 ATP Eastbourne tournament. One of the two players will win the set by reaching six games with a two-game lead, or by winning a tiebreaker.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which player wins set 1 of the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jacob Fearnley match in the 2026 ATP Eastbourne Round of 32. If the match does not occur before play begins due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation, the market resolves to a fair price. If the match is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. If a player retires, markets that can be unconditionally settled based on completed play resolve accordingly; those that cannot are resolved to fair market price at the Exchange's discretion.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tirante vs Fearnley Set 1 market displays real-time odds and price movements as traders buy and sell shares tied to each possible outcome. You can monitor the current probability implied by market prices, review historical price charts, and track trading volume to understand how sentiment has shifted since the market opened. The interface shows which outcome is favored and lets you see the depth of trading interest, helping you gauge confidence levels among active participants.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders who have direct financial exposure to accuracy. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sports betting sites, particularly as new information emerges or as major events approach. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus is strongest or where informed traders see value.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and offers for shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome winning the first set. As new information surfaces or trading volume shifts, prices adjust in real time. You can enter limit or market orders to express your view, and the platform matches buyers and sellers to establish the current market price.

This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, once the first set of the match between Tirante and Fearnley concludes and the winner is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which player wins the set according to official match records. Until that point, prices may fluctuate based on pre-match analysis, player form, betting patterns, and any other factors traders believe are relevant to the result.

Several factors could shift prices in this market before resolution. Recent performance data, head-to-head records, and surface conditions at the venue may influence trader sentiment. Injury reports or lineup changes announced closer to match day could trigger sharp moves. Court conditions, weather, and player momentum in the days leading up to the match also tend to drive trading activity. As the match approaches, real-time developments during warm-ups or early play may accelerate price swings if they suggest one player has an unexpected advantage.