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Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino: Set 3 Winner
kalshi

Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino: Set 3 Winner

Volume:
$89,122

Adrian Mannarino

 - Kalshi

Adrian Mannarino - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 30, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 6:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Adrian Mannarino

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$50,754
N/A
N/A
$27,122
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Thiago Agustin Tirante

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$38,368
N/A
N/A
$32,465
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market focuses on determining which player will win the third set of a specific tennis match at the 2026 US Open. It provides a way to assess the likelihood of either Thiago Agustin Tirante or Adrian Mannarino securing victory in that particular set, reflecting the competitive dynamics of their encounter.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the outcome of the third set in the specified tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino at the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128. If Tirante wins the set, his corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Mannarino wins, his market resolves to Yes. Should the match fail to commence due to injury, walkover, forfeiture, or cancellation before any play occurs, both markets resolve to a fair price. Postponements or delays keep the market open until the rescheduled match concludes within two weeks. In cases of retirement during the match, markets that can be settled based on completed play will do so, while unresolved markets will settle at a fair market price determined by the Exchange. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Tirante vs Mannarino Set 3 winner market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume for this specific tennis match segment. It displays how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of each player claiming Set 3, updated continuously throughout the event’s lifespan. The dashboard visualizes trends and liquidity through charts and summary statistics, allowing users to monitor sentiment and betting patterns as they unfold.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively price this market by buying and selling contracts that represent each possible outcome. The current probability reflects the ratio of contract prices and available shares, adjusted for liquidity and trader interest. As the match progresses, updates on player performance, injuries, or weather conditions can cause rapid shifts in these probabilities, driven purely by participant activity on the platform.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of Set 3 is determined by official match results, and the platform will finalize the market based on those authoritative records. No further interpretation or external judgment is needed beyond confirming the publicly reported match details.

Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes in serve performance, breaking points won or lost, and any interruptions such as weather delays. Updates from coaches, medical timeouts, or shifts in crowd support may also influence trader sentiment. As these events occur, real-time reactions from participants on Kalshi can cause noticeable changes in the odds and volume leading up to resolution.