TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 6:11 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which player will win the second set of a specific tennis match at the 2026 US Open. It allows participants to speculate on the competitive performance of the two athletes during that particular segment of play. The outcome depends purely on the match's progression and the players' abilities during set two.
If Thiago Agustin Tirante wins set 2 in the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrian Mannarino wins set 2 in the Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Men Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent each possible set-two outcome. The current odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading activity. As the match approaches, any shifts in player form, injury updates, or weather conditions can cause rapid re-pricing.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of set two will be determined by the official match result, and the market will close accordingly. Timing depends on when the match concludes and results are widely reported, ensuring transparency and fairness for all participants.
Key signals that could shift this market include player injuries, changes to the match schedule, weather delays, and pre-match betting trends. Any news about player performance, recent form, or strategic adjustments may also influence trader sentiment. As the event nears, volume often spikes in response to these updates, causing odds to fluctuate rapidly.