TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 60
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Mar 30, 2026
Closed: Mar 30, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Total markets: 15
Description
These markets assess whether the film 'They Will Kill You' (2026) will achieve specific Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer scores by March 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. The Tomatometer reflects the percentage of professional critics who gave the film a positive review. Resolution depends on the official Rotten Tomatoes 'All Critics' score snapshot at the specified settlement time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi presents 11 overlapping and redundant conditions that collapse into a single logical threshold (>45), creating logical incoherence and making individual market resolution impossible. Polymarket provides a clean, tiered structure with distinct thresholds (60, 65, 70, 75) that each resolve independently. The platforms use fundamentally incompatible resolution architectures.Hero tip: Avoid Kalshi markets in this group entirely — the 11 conditions are logically redundant and will all resolve identically regardless of the actual Tomatometer score, making price discovery impossible. Trade Polymarket instead, where each threshold market resolves independently based on clear, non-overlapping criteria.Critical divergence points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi lists 11 separate conditions, all resolving YES if the Tomatometer score exceeds a threshold on Mar 30, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. These conditions are nested and redundant — if the score is >45, ALL 11 conditions trigger YES simultaneously; if ≤45, ALL 11 resolve NO. This creates a single binary outcome masquerading as 11 distinct markets, violating the principle that each market should have independent resolution logic. Key quote: 'If They Will Kill You has a Tomatometer score of above 45... then the market resolves to Yes' (condition 10) and 'If They Will Kill You has a Tomatometer score of above 95... then the market resolves to Yes' (condition 3) — both resolve identically for any score >95.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket structures the event as four independent tiered markets with thresholds at 60, 65, 70, and 75. Each market resolves YES only if the Tomatometer score meets or exceeds its specific threshold, and NO otherwise. Markets can resolve with different outcomes (e.g., YES at 60, YES at 65, NO at 70). Resolution source is the 'All Critics' Tomatometer score as of 10:00 AM ET on March 30, 2026, with a fallback data-availability window through April 3, 2026. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes All Critics Tomatometer score for They Will Kill You (2026) is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on March 30, 2026.'