TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakina: Set 1 Winner
kalshi

Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakina: Set 1 Winner

Volume:
$86,374

Elena Rybakina

 - Kalshi

Elena Rybakina - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 1, 2026

Closed: Sep 1, 3:45 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Elena Rybakina

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$69,360
N/A
N/A
$41,077
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Thea Frodin

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
1¢
N/A
$17,014
N/A
N/A
$12,263
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market focuses on predicting which player, Thea Frodin or Elena Rybakina, will win the first set in their 2026 US Open Women Singles Round of 128 match. The outcome depends solely on the result of the first set, regardless of the final match result. Settlement is contingent on the match actually taking place, with specific guidelines for handling cancellations, postponements, or retirements.

Kalshi

If Thea Frodin wins set 1 in the Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elena Rybakina wins set 1 in the Thea Frodin vs Elena Rybakina professional tennis match in the 2026 US Open Women Singles Round Of 128, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Set 1 winner market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price fluctuations, and 24-hour volume of $85,028. This visualization helps traders monitor how market participants price the chances of each player claiming the opening set, with total volume at $86,374 reflecting overall interest ahead of the match.

This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first set will determine the final settlement, and contracts will automatically close based on that official result.

Key moments such as player form in the days leading up to the match, injury updates, and weather conditions could shift expectations for this market. A dominant service game or early break point from either competitor may cause rapid reassessments. As Aug 30, 2026 approaches, any last-minute changes in seeding or player availability will also influence trader positioning. Public analysts’ commentary and pre-match betting trends may further adjust the probability estimates on Kalshi.