TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 17M
- Kalshi
Above 17M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 12, 11:19 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks The Weeknd's performance on YouTube over a specific week, focusing on whether his daily view counts surpass various thresholds. It reflects the public's engagement with his content through view metrics during a defined period.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for The Weeknd's global daily YouTube view counts between September 7, 2026, and September 13, 2026. Each threshold represents a distinct market outcome, resolving to "Yes" if The Weeknd's views exceed the specified level at any point during the period. All markets use view counts displayed from a New York IP address to ensure consistency. The data source is YouTube Charts, where users search for the artist and select "Global" as the location. Importantly, YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The structure allows participants to speculate on different levels of viewership success within the same timeframe and artist.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to specific analyst forecasts for this event, as comprehensive public forecasts aren't widely available. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or analyst predictions. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, who are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of different outcomes. Discrepancies between this market and external forecasts could indicate that traders possess unique insights or are reacting to information not yet reflected in public analysis.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes at prices determined by supply and demand. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each daily view count being the highest. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count The Weeknd receives across all major video platforms during the period of September 7, 2026, to September 13, 2026. The specific data source used to verify the view counts will be determined by Kalshi and will be publicly available upon resolution. Traders will then receive payouts based on whether their chosen outcome matches the verified highest daily view count.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any announcements regarding The Weeknd’s promotional activities, new music releases, or major media appearances during the specified timeframe could significantly shift the odds. Unexpected viral trends or controversies surrounding the artist could also impact viewership. Furthermore, changes in the popularity of video platforms themselves or shifts in viewing habits could play a role. Monitoring news related to The Weeknd and the broader entertainment landscape will be key to understanding potential market movements.
