TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
What will The Weeknd’s highest daily view count be?
Above 16M
- Kalshi
Above 16M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 29, 2026
Closed: Sep 23, 1:20 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks The Weeknd's potential to attract massive global viewership on YouTube over a single week. It examines whether his content can achieve exceptionally high daily view counts during a specific period, reflecting both audience engagement and the impact of his releases.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of global daily YouTube views achieved by The Weeknd between September 21, 2026, and September 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific view count threshold, ranging from above 12 million to above 25 million views. For any market to resolve as 'Yes,' The Weeknd must surpass its respective threshold at least once during the specified week. All markets use view counts reported from a New York IP address to ensure consistency, accessing data through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting 'Global' as the location. Importantly, YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by YouTube.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinion. Often, this market reflects a broader range of perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially identifying overlooked factors. If analysts predict a certain daily view count range for The Weeknd, it’s interesting to see if the probabilities offered in this market align with or diverge from those expectations. Discrepancies can highlight areas where the ‘wisdom of the crowd’ differs from established analysis, offering a unique perspective on the event’s potential outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people trade, the prices adjust, providing a dynamic assessment of the Weeknd’s expected view count during the specified period. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions, influencing the price movements.
This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The highest daily view count for The Weeknd’s content between September 21, 2026, and September 27, 2026, will be determined by publicly available data from official sources. The resolution will be based on the verified peak in views achieved during that timeframe, establishing the winning outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any major announcements regarding The Weeknd’s new releases, collaborations, or promotional activities would likely shift trading activity. Unexpected viral trends featuring his music or appearances could also drive up view counts and influence market prices. Furthermore, broader shifts in social media engagement or platform algorithms could affect viewership, causing traders to reassess the probabilities. Positive or negative media coverage surrounding The Weeknd could also play a role in moving this market.
