TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 3:10 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks The Weeknd's performance on YouTube during October 2026, focusing on whether his global daily views surpass various thresholds throughout the month. The outcome depends on peak view counts rather than total monthly views.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on whether The Weeknd achieves specific global daily view thresholds on YouTube at any point during October 2026. Each market corresponds to a different numerical threshold, ranging from above 12 million to above 25 million views. View counts will be determined using data displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with "Global" selected as the location filter. These markets are for informational purposes only and do not imply endorsement by YouTube; references to YouTube charts are descriptive and not indicative of any affiliation between YouTube and the market operator.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts for the Weeknd’s viewership. However, prediction markets often aggregate diverse information and insights, potentially reflecting a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect that surpasses individual predictions. If analysts predict a certain range of views based on past performance and upcoming releases, this market will reveal whether traders agree or disagree with that assessment, expressed as probabilities. Discrepancies between market prices and external forecasts can highlight areas of uncertainty or differing perspectives.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices will adjust dynamically, providing a constantly updated assessment of the Weeknd’s potential peak daily view count in October 2026. The market's depth and volume indicate the confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the highest daily view count achieved by The Weeknd across all major video platforms (e.g., YouTube, Vevo) during the month of October 2026. The specific data source used to determine the view count will be publicly available at the time of resolution, ensuring transparency and accuracy. The outcome will be the range of views that contains the verified highest daily view count.
Several factors could significantly influence the Weeknd view count market. Major announcements regarding new album releases, music videos, or live performances would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected collaborations or viral trends featuring the Weeknd’s music could also drive increased viewership. Additionally, changes in platform algorithms or viewing habits could impact his overall reach. Any news related to the Weeknd’s public image or controversies could also affect market sentiment and trading activity, shifting probabilities as traders react to new information.
