TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 13M
- Kalshi
Above 13M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Closed: Sep 2, 10:20 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks The Weeknd's performance on YouTube over a specific week, focusing on whether his daily view counts surpass various thresholds. It uses a standardized method to verify view counts from a specific location, ensuring consistency across all thresholds.
Kalshi
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for The Weeknd's global daily YouTube views during the week of August 31, 2026, to September 6, 2026. Each threshold—ranging from above 12 million to above 25 million views—triggers a 'Yes' resolution if met at any point during the period. All markets use view counts displayed from a New York IP address via YouTube Charts, with the artist searched and 'Global' selected as the location. The rules explicitly state that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, indicating no affiliation between YouTube and the event organizer. The consistency in methodology across all thresholds ensures uniform evaluation, with secondary rules clarifying data source and non-endorsement disclaimers applying uniformly.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, the current odds for the Weeknd viewership record market reflect trader sentiment about which performance might draw the largest daily audience during the specified week. Analyst forecasts often weigh factors like tour schedules, media buzz, and historical performance data. While analysts may publish detailed reports with confidence ratings, this market offers a real-time, crowd-sourced probability that can diverge based on sudden news or fan engagement trends. Comparing the two provides a useful contrast between institutional analysis and decentralized market activity.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price for this market through buying and selling contracts that represent the likelihood of each possible outcome. The current top outcome’s implied probability is shown as a percentage, derived from the latest trading activity. Volume of $33,508 indicates overall interest, while the 24-hour volume of $9,793 reflects recent market momentum. Prices shift continuously as new information emerges about The Weeknd’s upcoming performances and media coverage.
This market resolves around Sep 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The settlement will depend on official streaming or view count data from recognized platforms during the August 31 to September 6 period. Once the numbers are finalized and publicly reported, the market will close and pay out according to the winning outcome.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes — for example, major social media announcements, live performance viewership surges, or unexpected competition from other high-profile releases. Any news about The Weeknd’s promotional events, platform-specific streaming bonuses, or competitor activity could sway trader sentiment. Additionally, platform-specific reporting delays or controversies might temporarily affect odds in the final days leading to Sep 10, 2026.
