TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 50
all
2 markets
Kalshi
Polymarket
consensus
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 14, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 14, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event group tracks the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for the movie 'The Uprising'. Markets will resolve based on whether the score meets or exceeds specific thresholds at a defined time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the Rotten Tomatoes All Critics Tomatometer score at the same specified time, with consistent thresholds and fallback rules.Primary resolution logic: Rotten Tomatoes official websiteCore resolution logic:
- Check the Rotten Tomatoes All Critics Tomatometer score for 'The Uprising' at 10:00 AM ET on September 14, 2026
- If the score meets or exceeds the market's specified threshold, resolve to 'Yes'
- If the score is below the threshold, resolve to 'No'
- If data is unavailable by September 18, 2026, resolve all markets to 'No'
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Data Unavailability: If Rotten Tomatoes has not published the score by the fallback deadline, all markets resolve to 'No'
- Score Ties: Scores exactly matching the threshold resolve as 'Yes'
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for The Uprising is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kalshi
These markets evaluate whether the film "The Uprising" achieves specific Rotten Tomatoes score thresholds by September 14, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Each market corresponds to a distinct numerical threshold, ranging from above 45 to above 90. A market resolves to "Yes" only if the film's Tomatometer score exceeds the respective threshold. For instance, a score of 75 would resolve as "No" for the market requiring above 75, as it does not surpass that exact value. All markets are determined on the Monday following the film's wide release. Importantly, these markets and their associated products are not endorsed by Rotten Tomatoes; references to the platform are purely descriptive and do not imply any affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through collective trader sentiment, which may differ from traditional analyst forecasts due to real-time betting dynamics and public excitement. Analysts often release detailed score projections based on reviews and historical data, while prediction markets reflect aggregated bets that can shift rapidly with early reviews or buzz, making the two sources sometimes align and sometimes diverge.
Early reviews, trailer reactions, and audience polling can shift this market as they shape expectations. Any significant critical endorsement or controversy leading up to release may cause rapid price changes, especially if major reviewers post scores before the official Rotten Tomatoes calculation. Trader sentiment on both platforms will react to these signals, potentially widening or narrowing the gap between current odds.