TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 4, 12:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of the first map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two esports teams. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory on the initial map during the competitive gameplay. Outcomes are determined by official tournament results, with specific handling for match disruptions.
The market resolves based on which team wins the first map in the scheduled EBL 2026 League of Legends match between The Secret Club Esport and MAGAZA. If The Secret Club Esport wins map 1, its corresponding market resolves to Yes, and MAGAZA’s resolves to No, and vice versa. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins but is later forfeited, the result follows the official determination by the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
On Kalshi, the current implied probability reflects trader sentiment for the Map 1 winner market. Sportsbook odds often incorporate additional factors like historical performance and public betting trends. While prediction markets emphasize crowd-sourced forecasting through continuous price discovery, sportsbooks may adjust lines based on broader market dynamics and risk management. Comparing the two can reveal shifts in expectations between speculative traders and traditional bettors. For this match, monitoring both sources may highlight emerging biases or consensus changes as Aug 4, 2026 approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match records indicating which team secured the first map, and this information is then reflected automatically in the market's final settlement.
Key signals that could shift this market include pre-match practice results, player injuries or lineup changes, and analyst commentary focusing on map one strategies. Any unexpected developments — such as a star player being benched or a surprise map pick — may cause rapid re-pricing as traders adjust their expectations about who will control the opening map.