TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 2:20 PM EST
Kalshi
In a high-stakes League of Legends match, The Ruddy Sack faces off against Arctic Pandas on the third map. The outcome will determine which team secures a crucial victory in this competitive showdown.
The market resolves to Yes if The Ruddy Sack or Arctic Pandas win map 3 of their NLC 2026 match scheduled for Sep 7, 2026 at 12:00 PM EDT. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before or during play, the market resolves to the fair market price, or according to the official result if a map begins and is later forfeited.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on their own analysis, while this market’s prices are determined by traders buying and selling contracts. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in team dynamics than sportsbooks, but there's no guarantee either will be more accurate. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The current price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit from correctly anticipating the event’s outcome. The more traders participate, the more efficient the pricing becomes, theoretically converging towards the true probability of each team winning Map 3. The market dynamically adjusts as new information and trading activity occur.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning team of Map 3 in the Ruddy Sack vs. Arctic Pandas CS2 match will determine the outcome. The result will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers. No further information is available regarding the specific process for confirming the results beyond verification against credible public sources. Traders should monitor official channels for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either the Ruddy Sack or the Arctic Pandas could significantly shift the odds. In-game performance during earlier matches in the series, or even during the map itself, could also impact trader sentiment. Major upsets or surprising tactical decisions could lead to rapid price adjustments. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of each team’s chances of winning Map 3 has the potential to move this market.