TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional boxing match between Ryan Garcia and Mario Barrios scheduled for February 21, 2026, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, as part of The Ring: High Stakes event. Markets resolve based on the official winner declared by The Ring magazine or a draw/cancellation outcome.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's binary framework is logically contradictory (both outcomes map to Yes), making it impossible to distinguish a Garcia win from a Barrios win. Polymarket uses a coherent ternary structure with explicit edge case handling.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written and should be avoided. Trade only on Polymarket, which provides clear, mutually exclusive outcomes (Garcia, Barrios, or 50-50) and a defined deadline (March 1, 2026) for cancellation/postponement scenarios.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary YES/YES structure creates logical incoherence. Both a Garcia victory and a Barrios victory are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unable to differentiate between the two fighters. No edge case handling for draws, cancellations, or postponements is provided. Key Quote: If Ryan Garcia wins the match, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mario Barrios wins the match, then the market resolves to Yes.Polymarket:
Ternary outcome structure with explicit edge case handling. Resolves to Garcia for Garcia win, Barrios for Barrios win, and 50-50 for draws, technical draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond March 1, 2026. Resolution source is The Ring magazine. Key Quote: If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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