TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barrios
kalshi
polymarket

The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barrios

Volume:
$5,607,896

Ryan Garcia

 - Kalshi

Ryan Garcia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 22, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ryan Garcia

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$2,279,969
N/A
N/A
$1,762,016
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mario Barrios

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,064,855
N/A
N/A
$2,592,162
Settled
No
polymarket

The Ring - High Stakes: Ryan Garcia vs. Mario Barrios

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$263,072
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers a professional boxing match between Ryan Garcia and Mario Barrios scheduled for February 21, 2026, at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada, as part of The Ring: High Stakes event. Markets resolve based on the official winner declared by The Ring magazine or a draw/cancellation outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's binary framework is logically contradictory (both outcomes map to Yes), making it impossible to distinguish a Garcia win from a Barrios win. Polymarket uses a coherent ternary structure with explicit edge case handling.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is unresolvable as written and should be avoided. Trade only on Polymarket, which provides clear, mutually exclusive outcomes (Garcia, Barrios, or 50-50) and a defined deadline (March 1, 2026) for cancellation/postponement scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary YES/YES structure creates logical incoherence. Both a Garcia victory and a Barrios victory are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unable to differentiate between the two fighters. No edge case handling for draws, cancellations, or postponements is provided. Key Quote: If Ryan Garcia wins the match, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mario Barrios wins the match, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • Polymarket: Ternary outcome structure with explicit edge case handling. Resolves to Garcia for Garcia win, Barrios for Barrios win, and 50-50 for draws, technical draws, no contests, cancellations, or postponements beyond March 1, 2026. Resolution source is The Ring magazine. Key Quote: If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond March 1, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.