TOTAL VOLUME:
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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
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402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
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39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 12K
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Above 12K - Kalshi
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 13, 2026
Closed: Sep 13, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks the performance of MONSTA X's album "The Phase" during its first week of release in the U.S. The outcome depends on whether the album achieves certain sales thresholds, measured in album equivalent units, within the specified timeframe.
Kalshi
The event evaluates whether MONSTA X's album "The Phase" achieves specified sales thresholds during the tracking week from September 04, 2026, to September 10, 2026, in the U.S. market. All markets resolve based on data reported by Luminate’s API as of 10:00 AM ET on the Sunday immediately following the tracking week. Luminate serves as the neutral metrics provider and does not endorse, verify, or participate in the prediction market outcomes. Each market corresponds to a different sales threshold (e.g., above 20K, 25K, 30K, etc.), and the market resolves to Yes if the reported album equivalent units exceed the respective threshold. The consistent data source and timing ensure uniform resolution across all markets.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced view of consumer demand. While analysts may provide consensus estimates, traders on Kalshi price in real-time signals such as pre-order trends, social media buzz, and historical release patterns. This can lead to divergence — for example, if early streaming numbers surge, odds may shift faster than traditional forecasts.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the album’s first-week equivalent units are verified against credible public sources. The final number combines physical sales, digital downloads, and streaming equivalents, following industry-standard reporting practices. No further interpretation is needed — the market settles on the officially published figure.
Key signals include last-minute marketing pushes, influencer endorsements, and early review scores, all of which can shift consumer intent. Any surprise leaks — such as track premieres or featured collaborations — may also impact pricing. Additionally, competing releases in the same timeframe could affect demand, causing rapid adjustments in this market as the launch date approaches.
