TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 7, 2:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the first map in an upcoming professional League of Legends match between two teams. The result depends solely on which team secures the victory on the initial map during the competition. It reflects the strategic opening battle that can influence the momentum of the entire match.
The event determines the winner of map 1 in the LPLOL 2026 match between The Otter Side and Bubliki, scheduled for September 7, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If either team wins the map, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result is determined by the official outcome published by the governing body or tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for The Otter Side, for example, the price will increase, indicating a higher perceived chance of them winning map 1. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the event's potential outcomes.
This market resolves around Sep 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by which team, The Otter Side or Bubliki, wins the first map of their CS2 match. The result will be based on the official game results as reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure an accurate and fair resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team rosters, player form, or strategic changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map bans or vetoes leading up to the match would also likely cause significant price action. In-game performance during other matches on the same day could also indirectly affect probabilities, as it provides additional data points about team strengths. Finally, any major upsets in the tournament could lead traders to reassess their predictions and adjust their positions accordingly.