TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 19, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
The 2026 Open Championship is one of professional golf's major tournaments. These markets track whether individual golfers finish in the top 40 positions (including ties) in the final standings of that event.
Each golfer's market resolves to Yes if that player finishes in the top 40 (including ties) in the 2026 The Open Championship final standings. If a golfer forfeits, withdraws, or does not participate prior to teeing off, the corresponding market resolves to Fair Market Price. If a golfer forfeits or withdraws after teeing off, the market resolves to No.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves, creating a dynamic supply-and-demand environment. Prediction markets typically incorporate real-time information faster and can reflect sharper consensus when liquidity is high. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where professional and retail traders disagree on player finishing probabilities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for each golfer's top-40 finish outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move in real time based on supply and demand, with each trade updating the market quote. Traders can enter limit orders to bet at specific odds or execute market orders for immediate fills, and the platform displays the spread between the best bid and ask for transparency.
This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, once the Open Championship concludes and final leaderboard positions are confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources reporting the official tournament results. Each golfer's position in the final standings determines whether their top-40 finish outcome is correct, and all positions are settled based on the verified final leaderboard.
Player form and recent tournament results are primary drivers of price movement in this market. Injuries, withdrawals, or course conditions revealed during practice rounds can shift odds significantly. Major news about a golfer's fitness, equipment changes, or mental preparation often triggers repricing. As the championship approaches, updated weather forecasts and course setup details may influence expectations about scoring difficulty and which players are favored to finish in the top 40.