TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Robert MacIntyre
- Kalshi
Robert MacIntyre - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 16, 2026
Closed: Jul 16, 5:46 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether individual golfers finish in the top 5 (including ties) in the first round of the 2026 The Open Championship. Each golfer has a separate market that resolves Yes if they achieve this standing after 18 holes, with special handling for withdrawals or forfeitures.
Kalshi
If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Ayora Fanegas finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Berger finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Akshay Bhatia finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keegan Bradley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Brown finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Buchanan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Burns finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laurie Canter finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Cantlay finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bud Cauley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stewart Cink finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Darren Clarke finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Conners finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Couvra finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Daly finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jason Day finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alistair Docherty finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ernie Els finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harris English finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Gerard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Hall finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeongwoo Ham finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brian Harman finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Padraig Harrington finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Russell Henley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Herbert finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kazuki Higa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Hillier finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Hollick finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mason Howell finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sungjae Im finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casey Jarvis finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron John finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zach Johnson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kota Kaneko finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Naoyuki Kataoka finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Kim finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Koivun finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frederic Lacroix finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joakim Lagergren finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fifa Laopakdee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Laporta finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Leonard finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hideki Matsuyama finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew McCarty finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rory McIlroy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom McKibbin finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phil Mickelson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Molinari finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Collin Morikawa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryutaro Nagano finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keita Nakajima finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joaquin Niemann finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Noren finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shaun Norris finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Novak finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louis Oosthuizen finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Parry finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marco Penge finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If J.T. Poston finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mateo Pulcini finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jon Rahm finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Rai finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Reed finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kristoffer Reitan finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Rose finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Saddier finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Xander Schauffele finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Scott finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Smalley finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Smith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elvis Smylie finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Travis Smyth finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henrik Stenson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sepp Straka finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Suber finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jesper Svensson finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Vincent finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tiger Woods finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jiho Yang finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ren Yonezawa finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Young finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and trader bases. Sportsbooks set fixed lines designed to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one allow continuous price discovery as traders update their beliefs. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow, liquidity, and the composition of active traders. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares tied to each top-five finisher outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and moves as new orders arrive and market participants adjust their positions. Higher prices indicate stronger consensus that a golfer will crack the top five, while lower prices suggest less conviction. Liquidity and trading volume influence how quickly prices respond to news and shifting expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the opening round of the Open Championship concludes and final leaderboard positions are confirmed. The outcome is determined by identifying which five golfers post the lowest scores after Round 1, verified against credible public reporting from the tournament. Traders holding shares in the correct top-five finishers receive payouts, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Early resolution is possible if the round is completed ahead of schedule.
Several factors can shift this market significantly before resolution. Weather conditions—wind, rain, or temperature swings—can dramatically affect scoring and player performance. Course setup changes, such as pin placements or rough height adjustments, may favor certain playing styles. Real-time leaderboard updates during the round itself are the most direct catalyst, as traders react to live scores and adjust odds for players climbing or falling back. Injury announcements, late withdrawals, or unexpected breakout performances by lesser-known competitors can also trigger sharp repricing as new information reaches the market.
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