TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Robert MacIntyre
- Kalshi
Robert MacIntyre - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jul 16, 2026
Closed: Jul 16, 5:47 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks whether individual golfers finish in the top 10 (including ties) in the first round of the 2026 The Open Championship. Each golfer has a separate market that resolves Yes if they achieve this standing after 18 holes, with special handling for withdrawals or forfeitures.
Kalshi
If Ludvig Aberg finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Angel Ayora Fanegas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Berger finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Akshay Bhatia finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keegan Bradley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jacob Bridgeman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Brown finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack Buchanan finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Burns finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Laurie Canter finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Cantlay finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bud Cauley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stewart Cink finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Wyndham Clark finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Darren Clarke finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Corey Conners finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Martin Couvra finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Daly finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jason Day finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bryson DeChambeau finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alistair Docherty finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ernie Els finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harris English finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matt Fitzpatrick finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tommy Fleetwood finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rickie Fowler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Fox finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryan Gerard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Chris Gotterup finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Griffin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Harry Hall finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jeongwoo Ham finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brian Harman finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Padraig Harrington finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tyrrell Hatton finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Russell Henley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucas Herbert finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kazuki Higa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Daniel Hillier finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nicolai Hojgaard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Hollick finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Billy Horschel finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Viktor Hovland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mason Howell finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sungjae Im finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Casey Jarvis finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron John finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Zach Johnson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kota Kaneko finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Naoyuki Kataoka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Si Woo Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Michael Kim finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kurt Kitayama finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jake Knapp finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Brooks Koepka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Koivun finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Frederic Lacroix finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joakim Lagergren finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Fifa Laopakdee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Laporta finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Min Woo Lee finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Leonard finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hao-Tong Li finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shane Lowry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert MacIntyre finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Hideki Matsuyama finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Matthew McCarty finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rory McIlroy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom McKibbin finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Maverick McNealy finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Phil Mickelson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Francesco Molinari finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Collin Morikawa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ryutaro Nagano finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Keita Nakajima finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Joaquin Niemann finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Noren finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Shaun Norris finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrew Novak finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Louis Oosthuizen finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If John Parry finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Marco Penge finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If J.T. Poston finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mateo Pulcini finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jon Rahm finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Aaron Rai finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Reed finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kristoffer Reitan finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Rose finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrien Saddier finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Xander Schauffele finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scottie Scheffler finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Adam Scott finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Alex Smalley finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan L. Smith finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elvis Smylie finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Travis Smyth finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If J.J. Spaun finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jordan Spieth finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Henrik Stenson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sepp Straka finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jackson Suber finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jesper Svensson finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Nick Taylor finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Justin Thomas finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Scott Vincent finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gary Woodland finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tiger Woods finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Jiho Yang finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ren Yonezawa finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cameron Young finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 1st Round of the 2026 The Open Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are priced by traders themselves—creating a dynamic, supply-and-demand-driven forecast. Prediction markets typically reward accuracy over time, incentivizing participants to price outcomes closer to true probabilities. For major golf events, comparing this market's odds to leading sportsbooks can reveal where consensus differs, helping you identify potential value or spot emerging shifts in how the field is being assessed.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders for shares representing each top-10 outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective willingness of traders to bet on that golfer finishing in the top 10, with prices ranging from near zero to near $1 depending on perceived likelihood. As new information arrives—such as course conditions, player form, or injury updates—traders adjust their positions, causing prices to shift in real time. This decentralized pricing model ensures the market continuously incorporates fresh signals.
This market resolves around Jul 16, 2026, once the first round of the Open Championship concludes and final leaderboard positions are confirmed. The outcome is determined by verifying which players finished in the top 10 after 18 holes, measured against credible public reporting from the tournament's official sources and major sports media. Winning shares are those tied to golfers who rank among the top 10 scorers at the end of round one, while all other shares expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the round's completion.
Several catalysts can shift odds before the market closes. Course conditions—including weather, wind, and green speed—often trigger repricing as they favor certain playing styles. Player form updates, such as recent tournament results or practice-round scores, influence confidence in each competitor. Injury announcements or late withdrawals can eliminate contenders entirely. Equipment or caddie changes may also sway sentiment. Additionally, early-round leaderboard updates during play itself will drive sharp trading, as traders react to live scoring and adjust probabilities based on how the field is actually performing relative to pre-tournament expectations.
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