TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 39M
- Kalshi
Above 39M - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 20, 2026
Closed: Jun 20, 2:21 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Notorious B.I.G.'s streaming performance is tracked across the week of June 12–18, 2026, measuring his total worldwide streams during that tracking period. Streaming data is compiled by Luminate Data, LLC and published approximately 48 hours after the tracking week ends.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by The Notorious B.I.G.'s total worldwide streams during the June 12–18, 2026 tracking week, as reported by Luminate Data, LLC. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific streaming threshold, with resolution to Yes if the artist exceeds that threshold. Data is published approximately 48 hours after the end of the tracking period. Luminate Data, LLC serves as a neutral provider of market metrics and does not endorse, verify, or participate in prediction market outcomes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money commitments from traders rather than opinion-based estimates. On this market, participants continuously update their positions based on streaming data releases, chart performance, and cultural moments—dynamics that may move odds faster or in different directions than published analyst reports. Comparing the current implied probability here to third-party music industry forecasts can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs from expert consensus, offering insight into which view the market finds more credible.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing yes or no outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects the market's collective estimate of the probability that weekly streams will reach the specified target. As new streaming reports surface or cultural events unfold, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the price to move in real time. The spread between buy and sell prices narrows or widens based on trading volume and conviction, directly translating market sentiment into a transparent price discovery process.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the final streaming data is verifiable from credible public sources. The resolution hinges on whether actual weekly streams meet or exceed the threshold specified in the market terms. Until that date, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information emerges. Once the event window closes and official figures are published, the market settles based on the verified result, and winning positions are paid out accordingly.
Several catalysts could shift odds significantly before resolution. Major playlist placements on Spotify, Apple Music, or YouTube could drive unexpected streaming surges. Cultural moments—such as documentary releases, sampling by contemporary artists, or anniversary milestones—often trigger renewed listener interest. Chart performance, viral social media trends, or radio resurgence can all amplify weekly totals. Additionally, broader music industry trends, competing releases, or shifts in listener behavior across genres may influence whether this market's threshold is met. Traders monitor these signals closely to adjust positions ahead of weekly data drops.
