TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Entertainment
The Notorious B.I.G.: Weekly Streams
kalshi

The Notorious B.I.G.: Weekly Streams

Volume:
$532

Above 40M

 - Kalshi

Above 40M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 6:10 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 40M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$170
N/A
N/A
$160
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 39M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 41M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 42M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 43M

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$28
N/A
N/A
$28
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 44M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 45M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 46M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 47M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 48M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 49M

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether The Notorious B.I.G. will accumulate at least 40 million streams globally during the May 22–28, 2026 tracking week. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%, with resolution determined by Luminate data showing whether worldwide streams exceed 43 million during that specific week. Watch the final streaming counts released for the May 22–28, 2026 tracking period, as this will directly determine the market outcome by the June 1, 2026 resolution date.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time prediction market activity for The Notorious B.I.G.: Weekly Streams on Kalshi. It displays live odds and price movements for outcomes related to streaming performance during specified weekly periods. The interface shows current market probability, 24-hour trading volume of $150, and historical price trends. Traders use this data to monitor consensus expectations around whether The Notorious B.I.G. will achieve specific streaming milestones on Luminate. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades execute, providing transparency into how the market is pricing each outcome.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-time trader consensus on The Notorious B.I.G.'s weekly streaming performance. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on subjective estimates and historical models, prediction markets aggregate the financial commitments of many participants with direct incentives to forecast accurately. Market participants continuously adjust positions based on new streaming data, chart performance, and promotional activity. This dynamic pricing often captures emerging signals faster than periodic analyst reports. Comparing market odds to independent music industry forecasts can reveal whether traders are pricing in expectations above or below professional consensus.

On Kalshi, The Notorious B.I.G.: Weekly Streams outcomes are priced as binary contracts reflecting the probability of achieving specified streaming thresholds during defined weekly windows on Luminate. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract trades between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing implied probability. The top outcome currently reflects strong market conviction. Traders buy contracts they believe will resolve to yes and sell those they expect to resolve to no. Pricing adjusts in real time based on order flow, streaming data releases, and market sentiment. Total liquidity on this event is $532, supporting active price discovery.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official streaming data from Luminate for The Notorious B.I.G. during the specified weekly period. The exact streaming count will be compared against the threshold defined in each contract outcome. Once Luminate publishes final weekly streaming figures, the market settles based on whether the artist met or exceeded the stated milestone. Traders should monitor Luminate's data release schedule and any official announcements regarding streaming metrics to understand timing and confirmation of results.

Several factors could shift market odds for The Notorious B.I.G.: Weekly Streams before resolution. New music releases, playlist placements on major streaming platforms, and viral social media moments can drive sudden spikes in listening activity. Chart performance, award nominations, or media coverage may increase listener engagement. Promotional campaigns or collaborations announced during the tracking week directly influence streaming velocity. Broader music industry trends, competing releases, and seasonal listening patterns also matter. Real-time streaming data updates and preliminary reports from music analytics services can move trader expectations. Any significant cultural events or controversies involving the artist may reshape market sentiment and trading activity.