TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 7:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between The New Saints FC and FC Flora, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "The New Saints FC" if The New Saints FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Flora" if FC Flora are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between The New Saints FC and FC Flora, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "The New Saints FC" if The New Saints FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Flora" if FC Flora are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant pools and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets are driven by traders risking real capital on outcomes they believe are mispriced. This market aggregates the views of thousands of independent traders, which can reveal consensus that differs from bookmaker pricing. When sportsbooks and prediction markets disagree significantly, it may signal an opportunity—either the market is undervaluing or overvaluing a team's chances relative to professional oddsmakers.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism, where traders buy and sell outcome shares directly against a liquidity pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome—whether one team scores first or neither does—adjusts dynamically based on the ratio of shares in the pool, meaning larger trades move the odds more sharply than smaller ones. Traders profit by buying undervalued outcomes and selling overvalued ones, and the equilibrium price reflects the aggregate belief of all participants at any given moment.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by which team, if any, scores the first goal during regular play. Resolution occurs after the event is final and confirmed through standard sports data sources, ensuring accuracy and fairness to all traders.
Team news—injuries to key forwards, defensive absences, or tactical shifts—can significantly alter scoring probabilities. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage also influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day, lineup announcements closer to kickoff, and any last-minute roster changes will likely trigger sharp price movements. Additionally, early match momentum or early chances can shift trader sentiment rapidly once the game begins, so odds may continue to adjust even after the opening whistle.