TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 7:41 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between The New Saints FC and FC Flora, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the The New Saints FC vs. FC Flora match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between The New Saints FC and FC Flora, scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the The New Saints FC vs. FC Flora match originally scheduled for July 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different pricing mechanisms and risk models. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage liability, while prediction markets derive prices from real-time supply and demand among traders. This market aggregates the collective judgment of participants betting their own capital, which can sometimes reveal insights that traditional oddsmakers miss. However, sportsbooks benefit from professional analytics teams and sharp bettors, so neither venue consistently outpredicts the other. Comparing both sources helps traders identify value and refine their own expectations for the final scoreline.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that calculates odds based on the ratio of shares held in each outcome pool. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares representing their chosen exact score, and the price adjusts dynamically as the pool composition changes. Higher trading volume on a particular scoreline pushes its price up, while lower activity allows it to drift down. This mechanism ensures continuous liquidity and prevents any single outcome from becoming impossible to trade, even if it attracts minimal interest.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once the New Saints and Flora match concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome will be verified against credible public sources reporting the official result. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score will receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automatic once the event is finalized and the winning outcome is locked in on the platform.
Several factors could shift odds in this market before kickoff and during the match. Team news—such as injuries to key players, lineup announcements, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp repricing. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form can also influence trader expectations for scoring patterns. Once the match begins, live goals and red cards will cause rapid adjustments as the probability of each remaining scoreline changes. Late-stage developments, such as a team going down to ten players or falling behind early, typically accelerate volatility and attract fresh trading activity as participants reassess their positions.