TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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"The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office
polymarket

"The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office

Volume:
$132,993

<25m

 - Polymarket

<25m - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

<25m

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$53,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25-28m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$59,466
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

>31m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,458
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28-31m

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,835
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Intro

This market tracks the domestic box office gross for "The Mandalorian and Grogu" during its second weekend of release. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—a second weekend gross between $28 million and $31 million—stands at 42.0%, while a gross between $25 million and $28 million is at 39.0%. Resolution will be determined by the Daily Box Office Performance figures on The Numbers website. Watch for the film's actual second weekend performance around early June 2026 to see how the market resolves.

Frequently asked questions

Several catalysts could shift market odds for this prediction. First-weekend box office performance will be the strongest signal, establishing audience appetite and word-of-mouth momentum. Critical reviews and audience scores on platforms like Rotten Tomatoes and IMDb influence repeat viewership. Competition from other releases during the second weekend, holiday scheduling, and marketing intensity all impact performance. Streaming announcements or delays, cast controversies, or unexpected production news could reshape trader sentiment. Real-time box office tracking reports and industry commentary will drive daily price movements. Traders should watch for early estimates and adjust positions accordingly as the second weekend approaches.