TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 6, 3:34 AM EST
Kalshi
A music album tracks worldwide streaming performance during a specific week in late May to early June.
The Fall-Off streams up this week is priced on Kalshi as a binary contract reflecting whether the event occurs within the specified timeframe. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares corresponding to each outcome, with the contract price directly representing the market's implied probability. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell interest, and the last-traded price serves as the real-time market quote. As new information emerges about The Fall-Off's streaming schedule, traders adjust positions, moving the price to reflect updated consensus.
The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether The Fall-Off streams during the specified week according to the event criteria established at market creation. Kalshi's resolution process will verify the outcome against official sources or predetermined data feeds. Once the resolution date passes and the outcome is confirmed, the contract settles and traders receive payouts based on their position and the final result.
Official announcements from the network or production company about The Fall-Off's premiere or streaming date would be the primary catalyst. Any delays, production updates, or scheduling changes disclosed on social media or entertainment news outlets could shift trader expectations. Unexpected cancellations, format changes, or last-minute platform decisions would also move odds sharply. Closer to the resolution date, confirmed air times or streaming confirmations would likely compress uncertainty and finalize market pricing as the outcome becomes certain.