TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Above 85
- Kalshi
Above 85 - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 19, 2026
Closed: Aug 17, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks whether the film "The End of Oak Street" will achieve a Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score of at least 86. The aggregated consensus probability stands at 99.2% across Kalshi and Polymarket. The outcome will be resolved based on the Rotten Tomatoes official website. Watch for the score announcement on August 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, which will determine the market result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
All platforms use the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer score for The End of Oak Street as of 10:00 AM ET on August 17, 2026, with consistent thresholds and fallback rules.Primary resolution logic: Rotten Tomatoes official websiteCore resolution logic:
- The market resolves based on the Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for The End of Oak Street
- Score must be checked at exactly 10:00 AM ET on August 17, 2026
- If data is unavailable by August 21, 2026, markets resolve to "No"
Edge cases & clarifications:
- Data Unavailability: If Rotten Tomatoes has not published the score by August 21, 2026, all markets resolve to "No"
- Score Tie: Thresholds are inclusive (e.g., at least 50 means 50 or higher)
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the displayed Rotten Tomatoes "All Critics" Tomatometer score for The End of Oak Street is at least equal to the specified number at 10:00 AM ET on August 17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, for any reason, the resolution data is unavailable at this market's specified end time, the resolution source will be checked until the relevant data is available. This market will resolve to "No" if no data is available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Kalshi
Resolution is determined by The End of Oak Street's Tomatometer score on August 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, the Monday after wide release. Each market outcome corresponds to a specific score threshold: the score must exceed the stated threshold value to resolve as Yes. For example, a final score of 75 would resolve "Above 75" as No, while "Above 70" would resolve as Yes. The Tomatometer aggregates reviews from professional critics and provides a percentage-based rating of critical approval.
Frequently asked questions
Key signals that could shift this market include early reviews, trailer reactions, social media buzz, and any major news about the film's reception or controversies. As release dates approach, real-time audience scores on platforms like Rotten Tomatoes may also create short-term volatility. Any surprise announcements — such as cast changes or critical endorsements — can dramatically alter trader expectations before the final score is locked in.